Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.249535 15.133311 17.152425 19.473207 22.062519 24.857971 28.099648
2024-10-20 9.938674 12.355330 15.134714 18.551127 22.619751 27.291457 33.041869
2024-10-27 7.559677 10.181728 13.402655 17.613163 22.930562 29.377782 37.735999
2024-11-03 6.435821 9.320836 13.080354 18.268831 25.163011 33.919214 45.776526
2024-11-10 5.869939 9.075659 13.478882 19.852077 28.701142 40.394334 56.821550
2024-11-17 5.186273 8.544490 13.396872 20.744806 31.376121 45.948685 67.121400
2024-11-24 4.389511 7.707988 12.750683 20.732902 32.751763 49.814488 75.408599
2024-12-01 3.622118 6.781406 11.829045 20.174587 33.236011 52.413449 82.064826
2024-12-08 3.093042 6.150441 11.268752 20.076660 34.354691 55.962494 90.286569
2024-12-15 2.724569 5.730943 10.985823 20.365525 36.061154 60.466869 100.177623
2024-12-22 2.344186 5.221808 10.476021 20.203750 37.001584 63.825030 108.502585
2024-12-29 2.187668 5.113629 10.653943 21.225299 39.954819 70.514581 122.383469
2025-01-05 1.919282 4.745594 10.327152 21.351376 41.461134 75.079719 133.357123
2025-01-12 1.599120 4.207664 9.602293 20.663715 41.482861 77.199251 140.510467
2025-01-19 1.317422 3.696119 8.852589 19.832730 41.155258 78.684475 146.686004
2025-01-26 1.225273 3.609728 8.965663 20.696931 44.011555 85.826970 162.820350
2025-02-02 1.219543 3.735121 9.546262 22.558888 48.889791 96.807709 186.134203
2025-02-09 1.150553 3.685827 9.734292 23.624043 52.309266 105.376207 205.683876
2025-02-16 1.018845 3.442852 9.449616 23.655650 53.696521 110.333652 219.108285
2025-02-23 0.867459 3.110413 8.905683 23.058448 53.762276 112.838887 228.246605
2025-03-02 0.764176 2.893140 8.606518 22.967668 54.842730 117.288601 241.123440
2025-03-09 0.694502 2.761896 8.502011 23.305262 56.830274 123.556398 257.627264
2025-03-16 0.610442 2.564085 8.195618 23.131828 57.705886 127.706004 270.353611